The last time I posted on USLV directly was in this post where the model chart below was provided:
But red 4 ended up retracing back into red 1 so this count is bust. The new count below suggests that only 3 of 5 is in place.
So, longer term we could see one more lower low for metals and miners, a position that I have not abandoned by any means even while riding the profit wave up. If this model is correct, USLV should see a new high soon. I count the current wave as being at or nearly at 2 of C. If this is correct, then we have 3 of C right ahead and as I have been telling people, I have been building a position in USLV in order to catch this wave.
Wave 2 has filled the gap in wave 1 of C and did so in 3 waves. My stops are now snugged up against this wave 2 bottom and I will not tolerate much if any more downside from here (20-30 cents maybe a bit more depending on how the waves look). Bottom line is that this either needs to show me that a 3rd wave is unfolding soon or I become very disinterested very fast. I do not "believe" in silver. That is for fools. I know that it will never BK but I also know that the price has been $5 / OZT before. I do believe in the movement of herds and in the predictive power (as well as the power to tell me when I predicted wrongly) of Elliott waves.
Keeping one's emotions in check is probably the most difficult part of this game. When emotions are running the show, discipline is out the door.
Tuesday, March 8, 2016
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