For every situation it pays to make some kind of a model to serve as a yardstick of progress. Without that, "gut feel", "seat of the pants", and "winging it" are the only strategies available. OK, there is also hope but I think most people realize that hope is not a strategy.
So whether you agree with my model or not isn't as important as the fact that I have one and it contains trigger points. If the triggers aren't hit, I was wrong, but at least I know I was wrong and that is useful in and of itself. So be warned in advance, you probably won't like this model because it is not main stream media, tomorrow is a brighter day, happy happy joy joy. It is just my wave count without emotions. Please try to see it for that. If it is wrong then I will adjust. But if it's right, I will not be caught by surprise.
Good luck to us all when the $COMPX falls below the lower green rail. It should be a dramatic collapse. So dramatic, in fact, that I think some significant world event will have to have triggered it.
Time will indeed tell.
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