We are now at the shit or get off the pot moment with respect to the model I provided here and which has been reproduced below. The DJIA will have to, probably tomorrow, either break back down into the channel and begin playing out a 3rd wave OR it will bounce up as shown below and take out the top rail. I really think it could go either way so I am not holding overnight even though I suspect I will miss out on profits from a big gap down tomorrow. When I don't have a stronger feeling than a coin toss I think I can just wait until pre-market tomorrow and make a decision.
Break down of the top rail should be with gusto if it is really to be taken bearishly because this should be a 3rd wave and by some count s a 3rd of 3rd. Breakdown of the top rail is a buy signal. Next confirmation is breakdown of the lower rail of the HT and then we should see some real panic begin once the lower rail of the wedge falls.
I will be all in on UVXY if that top rail breaks down with stops just above the top rail.
Monday, February 9, 2015
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