The model from the backlink is bust but I think I might know what is going on with the chart. I count the way that peaked not as a 5 but a 3. Thus probably b of 4. Then we find support here or perhaps a bit lower and then move up into red 5 which actually short strokes because it is the same length as red 1.
And then it forms the signature H+S breakdown.
That is a lot of speculation so I would just leave this one alone and see what it does. IFF we get that bounce into red 5 and if it looks like 5 waves then it will start to validate my view. In that case I will strongly consider getting back into puts on this one. Airlines do not do well in recessions...
Saturday, February 6, 2016
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