In the backlink I was expecting ARP to move up and it did but I did not like the look of the chart and so I bailed with a nice short term profit. I suspect that it might have one more physically small but percentage wise worthwhile move up. Maybe I'll turn out to be wrong about this but since the Jan bottom I count 3-3. If we get another wave up as shown in red, that could count as a flat correction (3-3-5) and it will mean that there is one move wave down to a likely lower low. By the way, the black 5 below is meant to show the 3-3-5 nature, it is not part of any count. If the flat correction pans out, it will be red 4.
The C wave of a flat correction should go at least 80% as high as the A wave. This is why I suspect that the downsloping blue line could turn out to be resistance. If the chart can bust out of that then I will start wondering if I got this wrong.
Odds, not certainties...
In any case, I expect tomorrow to be a good day for oil services. Putt the short game for dough.
Monday, February 15, 2016
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