Despite recent strength, we have to be aware of the TVIX chart which suggests that the recent action could be a good sized 4th wave. The main trigger to look for is a break back below that upper rail. It really looks like we are working on C of 5 of this expanding wedge. The retracement could be back down to the prior 4th or it could be to a lower low than black 2. The wave shape will tell us which it will likely be.
Friday, August 1, 2014
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