In the backlink I was modeling the potential for unfinished business to the downside for silver. We did get a dip from that point ($13.91 went down to ~$13.60s) but not as deep as I had thought. That leaves it open to be a B or a 2nd wave pullback with the subsequent move up being C or 3. So the threat is that this has morphed into a larger falling wedge (i.e. went from the blue channel model to the lime green channel model with the red finish.
That declining double top at black 4 is worrisome but at the same time, that is exactly the kind of thing that a 3rd of 3rd is supposed to break out of . So a small pullback from the resistance from here today into the close could lead to a gap above that resistance tomorrow at the open.
However, a gap down as shown in red below would be a warning sign. So I just banked today's 14% profit on JNUG and now I'll just wait to see if that falling green line can be broken out today. As usual, I am erring to the side of caution at this point, if you can call today's 14% gain an error. I did follow my own advice from this post in thinking that the pullback could be an expanded flat correction.
JNUG isn't going anywhere without silver...
Thursday, September 24, 2015
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