Holding a 1/3 position of JNUG overnight last night provided a nice return this AM. But when I saw JNUG getting stopped by the down sloping resistance line, I set stops at 3.90 and went on with my day. Since it could not break out, it broke down and I got stopped out for a 10% profit which is just fine with me. Going forward I think we need to wait to see how this horizontal triangle thing plays out. Below is the GDXJ chart. If the chart kisses the bottom rail and holds then I will buy in again with the expectation of another 9-10% profit on the final wave up and then I might just flip short into JDST for the next wave down. I really don't like trading against what I think the bigger trend is but in this case if we get the confirmed H.T then I think it is a high probability move down into the C wave. But after that, I cannot stress how important it will be to have JNUG exposure because after it bottoms the next move should be a 3rd wave up.
Wednesday, December 3, 2014
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