If ever a high odds time were to own TVIX, I think it is right here, right now. Nothing is confirmed until TVIX takes out the Aug 2014 high of $4.28 but everything looks right for this to happen over the next several weeks. Once TVIX obtains a higher high than $4.28 then a lot more people will be looking to buy crash insurance and TVIX should do very, very well in that environment.
Wednesday, September 24, 2014
Tomorrow should bring the start of some big selling to the markets.
In yesterday's TVIX post I modeled that today was a recovery rally day for the markets as they complete an a-b-c into wave 2 (and thus not good for TVIX). The light gray a-b-c suggestion turned out to be pretty close. Wave 2 likely finished today or very nearly so. The wave did not pull all the way back to the ~$2.65 range which would have been the level of the prior 4th as well as the blue line below which is the 61.8% fib. Instead, it only got back as far as the 50% fib at $2.71. Maybe it is done already and maybe there will be a rapid morning move down (head fake) followed by a rapid reversal higher.
After selling off in anticipation of today's pullback, I heeded my own words from yesterday's post which I highlighted below: "What would be very bullish would be if it gets down there very quickly
in the AM and then reverses in the afternoon to close higher as wave 3
up plays out. But that is a lot to ask for so don't be surprised if it
takes the full day for TVIX to retrace. I would treat any such dip as a
buying opportunity, especially if it has a typical 3 wave retracement
shape of a-b-c.". After seeing the a-b-c down I bought TVIX near the close today and will likely ride out any head fakes down tomorrow AM should they occur as long as they do not significantly exceed the 61.8% fib.
If ever a high odds time were to own TVIX, I think it is right here, right now. Nothing is confirmed until TVIX takes out the Aug 2014 high of $4.28 but everything looks right for this to happen over the next several weeks. Once TVIX obtains a higher high than $4.28 then a lot more people will be looking to buy crash insurance and TVIX should do very, very well in that environment.
If ever a high odds time were to own TVIX, I think it is right here, right now. Nothing is confirmed until TVIX takes out the Aug 2014 high of $4.28 but everything looks right for this to happen over the next several weeks. Once TVIX obtains a higher high than $4.28 then a lot more people will be looking to buy crash insurance and TVIX should do very, very well in that environment.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
1 comment:
Great call good sir! Appreciate the posts!
Post a Comment