Below is the DUG chart which shows that oil and gas have had a big payday since 2009 (remember DUG is inverse...). Keep in mind that this has been taking place while gold and silver have been crashing. So anyone who thinks gold is a commodity, please justify how oil and gas go up while gold goes down. I have a long standing prediction that says before this collapse is over, gold begins to be remonetized by the market. In other words, just like Apple and Google are laughing while the FBI whines about their new encryption, gold and silver will be remonetized despite government attempts to distract people from the historical money roles of these metals. I think at some point, gold and silver will again be recognized as the only real money in the world. Everything else, as JP Morgan (the man) said, "is not".
In any case, I scanned through the chart and found a triangle followed by a falling wedge and have applied a wave count to the series based on these landmarks. I suspect that oil and gas will double top and thus DUG will double bottom (inverted owl) as shown below. This should be good for a bundle before the deflationary crash is over.
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In any case, I have not followed the oil patch for years, don't consider myself any kind of expert on it, don't have any idea what current events are going on there (besides Israel striking natural gas recently and the obvious Russia-Europe heating gas connection) and my model could be all wet. I'm simply going by some simple indicators as mentioned above. It will be interesting to see how it plays out.
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