Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Sell the TSLA dead cat bounce.

Tesla shares just finished wave 2 a-b-c up to the 38.2% fib today.  While the 10% bounce may seem exciting, it is not going to last very long according to my model.  I count 5 pretty clear waves down for TSLA.  Notice that the 3rd wave had a gap down and then ended with a falling wedge.  So that is a pretty high confidence label.  Then it got 5 more good waves down into red 5/blue 1.

The it got a weak bounce into red "a", a big sell off into red "b" a very strong C wave bounce into red "c".   There is still the threat that it will fill the gap up to the 50% fib which is why tight stops are important but whether it stops at the 38.2 or the 50 fib, I think the initial 5 waves down means that TSLA is in for lower prices ahead.

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