Model from backlink is below.
While we did get a bounce in the indicated range, the bottom that was put in looks suspiciously W3-ish thus opening us up to the modified count below.
While my primary is red above, Avi appears to favor the blue. So both of us are counting this as 4 of C of 5 of a large falling wedge. I zoomed in on his difficult to read chart and added my interpretation of his expected path but it seems to be essentially blue from above (which is my alternate count):
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