Sunday, September 6, 2015

Another possibility for [RUSL] on Tuesday.

In the backlink I provided two possible models below.

 


With a good night's sleep under my belt and more time to evaluate during the weekend, I think that a 3rd option is more likely than either of the above two and that is shown below.  In essence, a deep vee 2nd that fills the lower gap in an a-b-c retracement with buy target of $11.70.

And then it will likely double within the next 2 weeks.

So saith the EW model and thus so saith The Captain.



Note: the fall will likely be coincident with a falling DJIA / S+P / $COMPX (AKA "the broader markets").  Then, the next rally up will likely coincide with the wave 2 rally of the broader markets.  That is when we will probably see the first stages of decoupling between the broader markets and already-at-depression level commodities.

As usual, I will be playing it wave by wave.

Recap, if RUSL is weak on Tuesday's open, stop out easily, look to get back in on the gap fill at $11.70 and then hold on tight for an 80-100% increase over the next 2 weeks following the bottom.  As always, this is about odds and not certainties, fellow gamblers.  Never and I repeat not ever should we forget this.  Use EW-defined stops and fold early if the trade busts the model and then don't be shy about re-entering at the next EW-defined entry point.

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